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Filed under: Probability Studies | 11/09/09 06:24am UTC
jkriek

How to do a EUR/USD Probability Study, 9 Nov

by Johan Kriek (jkriek@fxinstructor.com)

Below follows a three-step Probability Study on the EUR/USD

Directions:

1) Identify the Major trend – Daily chart

2) Identify the Current trend – 4 hour chart

3) Identify the 60minute trend -  1 hour chart

* the 60 minute trend will depict the direction of highest probability. This will be your context for today’s trading

STEP 1:

Identify the Major

eurdaily

STEP 2:

Identify the Current

eur4hr

STEP 3:

Identify the 60 minute trend

eur1hour

Now you can see the the 60 minute trend is bullish. Therefore the direction of highest probability is bullish for today and it will remain this way until the 60minute trend support line is violated and confirmed.

I will continue by adding my fishing stochastic to the 1 hour chart to see if I have a trading condition or not. I will then execute my own personal trading entry system in the direction of highest probability and ONLY when my stochastic is pointing in the direction of highest probability as well.

I am presenting yet another FREE lesson on the Probability Study technique on Friday the 13th of November. You can book yourself a seat here: http://www.fxinstructor.com/eng/courses/probability.php

If you are patient enough to wait for a trading condition to develop within the direction of highest probability, you place yourself in such a great position to minimize your drawdown. If you can keep your drawdown as low as possible, you can expose more for the same amount of risk and make more money the sensible way

See you on Friday and I will tell you more

Enjoy your day

Johan

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